TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Jun 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Jun 27, 2026?

Volume:
$14,384

76° or above

 - Kalshi

76° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,700
N/A
N/A
$2,479
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,051
N/A
N/A
$543
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,497
N/A
N/A
$696
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$914
N/A
N/A
$145
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$628
N/A
N/A
$373
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Atlanta on June 27, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report for Atlanta, which records daily minimum temperatures.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Atlanta on June 27, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS website by navigating to the Observed Weather tab and selecting Atlanta, GA with Daily Climate Report. The reported minimum temperature determines which outcome resolves affirmatively. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) is the authoritative source for resolution, not preliminary reports or third-party weather services.

Frequently asked questions

The Atlanta temperature market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the lowest temperature in Atlanta on June 27, 2026. Traders buy and sell shares based on their forecasts of that day's minimum temperature. The dashboard displays current odds for outcome ranges, historical price movements, and volume of $14,384 in total group activity. This gives participants a live view of how the market is pricing different temperature scenarios as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds reflect the collective judgment of traders with real money at stake, which often differs from traditional weather forecasts. While meteorologists rely on physics-based models and historical data, this market aggregates dispersed information and incentivizes accuracy through financial reward. Comparing current odds to seasonal climate normals and professional forecasts can reveal where traders see asymmetric risk. As the event date approaches, market prices typically converge toward consensus forecasts, though divergences may signal overlooked factors or model disagreement among experts.

This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once June 27, 2026 has passed and the lowest temperature for that day is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual recorded minimum temperature in Atlanta on that date. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution is final once the temperature data is confirmed and the market settles.

Several factors could shift odds significantly before resolution. Updated seasonal forecasts, climate pattern shifts, or anomalous weather systems approaching the Southeast in mid-2026 would influence trader expectations. Major atmospheric events—such as a heat dome or cold front—could trigger rapid repricing weeks or days in advance. As June 27 approaches, real-time weather models become more precise, typically narrowing the range of plausible outcomes. Breaking news about atmospheric conditions or historical temperature records for that date could also prompt sharp moves in this market.