Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Jun 22, 2026?

Prediction market odds reflect the collective judgment of traders with real money at stake, often diverging from traditional meteorological forecasts. While weather analysts rely on physics-based models and historical data, this market aggregates dispersed information—including long-range climate patterns, seasonal anomalies, and trader expertise—into a single price. Prediction markets have historically outperformed single-expert forecasts on medium-term events, though they can overshoot or undershoot depending on trader composition and available information. Comparing the market's implied probability to published seasonal outlooks for Atlanta in late June offers useful perspective on where consensus lies.

This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the lowest temperature recorded in Atlanta on June 22, 2026 is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by official weather data from established meteorological stations serving the Atlanta area. Traders' positions settle based on which temperature range the actual low falls into, with payouts distributed accordingly. All traders receive notification of the final result and settlement occurs automatically on the platform shortly after verification.

Several factors can shift odds in this market. Updated seasonal climate forecasts and long-range weather models issued by NOAA or other agencies often trigger repricing as traders adjust expectations. Major atmospheric patterns—such as shifts in the jet stream, tropical activity, or high-pressure systems—can alter the probability of cooler or warmer conditions. Real-time weather developments in the weeks leading up to June 22 will also influence trading, as near-term forecasts become more reliable. Additionally, historical temperature records and anomalies for Atlanta in late June may prompt traders to reassess baseline assumptions about what constitutes an unusually warm or cool day.