TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The minimum temperature in Atlanta on June 2, 2026, will be recorded and reported by the National Weather Service according to their daily climatological data.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations for Atlanta's low temperature on June 2, 2026, often incorporating weather models and historical patterns faster than traditional analyst consensus. While meteorologists typically issue forecasts 7–10 days before the event, prediction markets update continuously as new data emerges. Comparing market-implied probabilities to National Weather Service or Weather Underground forecasts can reveal where traders see value or disagreement with official guidance.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Atlanta on June 2, 2026 is priced as binary or range-based contracts, with each outcome reflecting trader conviction about whether the daily minimum will fall within specified temperature bands. Prices move based on supply and demand; higher prices indicate stronger belief in that outcome. Traders buy contracts they expect to resolve true and sell those they expect to resolve false, creating a continuous market that aggregates dispersed weather knowledge into real-time odds.
Major weather pattern shifts, including changes to high-pressure systems, frontal boundaries, and upper-level atmospheric dynamics, will drive price movement. Updated extended-range forecasts from the National Weather Service, European, and American weather models typically shift odds as June 2 approaches. Seasonal anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and real-time atmospheric observations in late May will refine trader expectations. Unexpected cold snaps or warm surges in the days immediately before June 2 could trigger sharp repricing.