TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Hurricane Lowell category?
kalshi

Hurricane Lowell category?

Volume:
$22,696

Category 1 or above

 - Kalshi

Category 1 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 1:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Category 1 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,047
N/A
N/A
$5,632
2mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Category 5 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,533
N/A
N/A
$4,053
2mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Category 2 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,127
N/A
N/A
$997
2mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Category 4 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,834
N/A
N/A
$1,129
2mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Category 3 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
$636
2mo 2d
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the intensity of Hurricane Lowell based on its maximum sustained wind speeds. The outcome depends on whether the storm reaches specific wind speed thresholds corresponding to different hurricane categories. The event is monitored until December 1, 2026, with a definitive resolution once the criteria are met.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Hurricane Lowell achieves specified wind speed thresholds that correspond to different hurricane categories, ranging from Category 1 to Category 5. Each threshold represents a distinct level of storm intensity, with Category 1 requiring winds of at least 74 mph and Category 5 requiring winds of at least 157 mph. If the hurricane reaches any of these thresholds before December 1, 2026, the event resolves affirmatively. Regardless of which threshold is met, the market expires at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the qualifying event, ensuring a timely resolution based on the storm's peak intensity.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Dec 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Hurricane Lowell category will be determined by authoritative meteorological agencies, such as the National Hurricane Center, after the storm has fully dissipated or been classified.

This market could shift based on official storm track updates, intensity forecasts from weather agencies, or sudden changes in sea surface temperatures. Key reports from the National Hurricane Center or shifts in wind speed predictions often drive volatility. Any announcement that alters the expected category of Hurricane Lowell before Dec 1, 2026 may cause rapid price adjustments.