TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
polymarket

How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

Volume:
$126,968

290–319

 - Polymarket

290–319 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 8, 2026

Closed: May 9, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

290–319

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

350+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<140

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320–350

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140–169

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

170–199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

230–259

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200–229

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260–289

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time. If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments. The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time. If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.