TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Atlanta will experience sustained high temperatures over a week in August 2026. It examines consecutive days where the average temperature exceeds 90°F, with different thresholds defining various outcomes.
These markets resolve based on the number of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F in Atlanta during the week of August 17–23, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, or 6+ consecutive days) that must be met for it to resolve as 'Yes.' The daily average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly temperatures reported by The Weather Company from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within the specified week count toward a streak, and a day with an average of exactly 90°F or fewer than 18 reported hourly values breaks any ongoing streak. Data is locked at the expiration time, and later revisions are ignored.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official meteorological data releases as the week progresses, with the final count of consecutive days above 90°F settling the market after August 25, 2026.
Any significant weather pattern shift — such as an early heat dome or unexpected cool front — could move this market. Government weather service updates, regional climate alerts, and medium-range forecast revisions will all influence trader sentiment in the weeks leading to Aug 25, 2026, potentially widening or narrowing the spread depending on new information.