TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 9 - Feb 15?
polymarket

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 9 - Feb 15?

Volume:
$279,158

0

 - Polymarket

0 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

0

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$157,088
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

4

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$251,072
$7,240
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

3

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$39,945
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

2

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$31,045
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$29,808
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

>5

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$9,381
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

5

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$4,652
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.