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406,019

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5

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Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 29?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 29?

Volume:
$101,349

25°C

 - Polymarket

25°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 29, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

23°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the peak daily temperature in Wuhan will reach 27°C on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, the 27°C outcome is trading at 33.0%, while the 28°C outcome is at 24.5%. Resolution will be determined by historical temperature data from Weather Underground, specifically measurements from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station. Watch for weather forecasts and seasonal patterns as May 29, 2026 approaches to gauge the likelihood of these temperature thresholds being met.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Wuhan on May 29 on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the leading outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $54,341. The total market volume stands at $101,349, reflecting sustained trader interest in this weather event. Users can monitor how odds shift as new meteorological data emerges and the resolution date approaches, providing a live window into market sentiment about Wuhan's peak temperature.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, after the highest temperature in Wuhan on May 29 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by official temperature data for that specific date. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution hinges on accurate meteorological records from Wuhan's monitoring stations, ensuring that the actual peak temperature is compared against the contract's specified threshold to settle all open positions.

Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Major weather pattern changes—such as monsoon onset timing, tropical cyclone activity, or high-pressure systems over central China—would alter temperature expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time atmospheric data releases typically move markets. Historical temperature anomalies and climate indices like the Pacific Decadal Oscillation may influence trader positioning. As May 29 approaches, daily weather models become more precise, often triggering sharp repricing. Geopolitical or economic events affecting regional air quality could also indirectly influence temperature readings and market sentiment.