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Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 27?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 27?

Volume:
$55,047

34°C

 - Polymarket

34°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

34°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Wuhan temperature forecast market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature prediction in Wuhan on June 27. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $47,287, giving traders a live view of how the market is pricing this weather outcome. Total liquidity across this market stands at $55,047, reflecting active participation from forecasters monitoring meteorological conditions and seasonal patterns for the region.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders betting real money on outcomes, often diverging from traditional weather analyst forecasts. While meteorologists rely on numerical models and historical data, this market incorporates forward-looking sentiment and incorporates new information continuously as traders update positions. Comparing the current odds to published forecasts from regional weather services can reveal where the market sees asymmetric risk—for instance, if traders are pricing in a higher or lower temperature range than official predictions suggest.

This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once June 27 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Wuhan can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing actual meteorological data against the temperature thresholds embedded in the market's contract terms. Resolution relies on credible public reporting of weather observations, ensuring that all traders have access to the same factual basis for settlement.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal anomalies, and updated climate forecasts from meteorological agencies can significantly move odds in this market. El Niño or La Niña conditions, monsoon timing, and heat wave alerts for East Asia are key catalysts. Additionally, real-time atmospheric data releases and model consensus updates in the days leading up to June 27 will likely trigger repricing as traders incorporate fresh information about pressure systems and temperature trends affecting the Wuhan region.