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Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 17?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 17?

Volume:
$50,616

33°C

 - Polymarket

33°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

33°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like this one aggregate the collective judgment of traders with real money at stake, often revealing insights that differ from traditional weather analyst forecasts. While meteorologists rely on numerical models and historical data, this market reflects live expectations from participants constantly updating their views. Comparing the odds here to published forecasts from major weather services can highlight where traders see divergence—whether they expect a warmer or cooler day than the consensus model suggests. This dynamic pricing often captures emerging signals faster than static forecasts.

This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once June 17 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Wuhan can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual peak temperature against the outcome thresholds defined in the market. Verification happens through credible public reporting of weather data, ensuring that all traders have access to the same authoritative information when the market settles.

Several factors could shift odds significantly before resolution. Updated seasonal weather forecasts, atmospheric patterns, or tropical systems approaching the region would prompt traders to reassess temperature expectations. Real-time meteorological alerts or model consensus shifts typically trigger sharp price movements. Additionally, historical temperature records for mid-June in Wuhan serve as anchors—if traders spot anomalies in current predictions, they may adjust positions. As the event date approaches, any official weather warnings or significant model updates will likely drive renewed trading activity and price adjustments.