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Highest temperature in Wellington on June 10?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Wellington on June 10?

Volume:
$47,073

14°C

 - Polymarket

14°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

14°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature recorded in Wellington on June 10, 2026, on Polymarket. It displays current implied probabilities for each temperature outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $30,591. Users can monitor how market participants are pricing different temperature scenarios as the event date approaches, providing a live snapshot of collective expectations about Wellington's peak temperature on that specific day.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders and can differ meaningfully from traditional meteorological forecasts. While weather analysts issue deterministic temperature predictions based on atmospheric models, prediction markets aggregate diverse trader beliefs into probabilistic odds. Markets often incorporate late-breaking weather data and shift rapidly as new information emerges. Comparing market-implied probabilities to official forecasts from the New Zealand MetService can reveal where traders see upside or downside risk relative to expert consensus.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Wellington on June 10 is priced through outcome contracts representing discrete temperature ranges or specific thresholds. Traders buy and sell shares in each outcome, with prices reflecting the probability of that outcome occurring. The market uses an automated market maker or order-book mechanism to determine prices based on supply and demand. As traders adjust positions based on weather forecasts and real-time conditions, prices shift to reflect evolving market sentiment about the likely peak temperature.

The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the highest temperature in Wellington on June 10, 2026, has been recorded and finalized. The outcome is determined by the official maximum temperature reading for that day from the designated weather station or meteorological authority in Wellington. Once the data is confirmed and reported, the winning outcome contract is settled and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Resolution occurs shortly after the close of the trading day on June 10.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and real-time atmospheric conditions will drive price movements. Tropical cyclone activity, high-pressure systems, or cold fronts approaching New Zealand in early June could significantly alter expectations. Official long-range forecasts from MetService or international weather models released closer to the date will influence trader positioning. Unusual climate anomalies or El Niño/La Niña updates may also shift market odds. As June 10 approaches, daily weather updates and short-range forecasts will create volatility in the final trading days.