TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six separate outcome ranges are defined: 68° or below, 69-70°, 71-72°, 73-74°, 75-76°, and 77° or above. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these ranges, the corresponding market resolves to Yes, with all other markets resolving to No. All outcomes share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If no valid data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.