TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 3, 2026?

Volume:
$23,117

68° or below

 - Kalshi

68° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° or below

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,864
N/A
N/A
$9,293
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,490
N/A
N/A
$3,295
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,749
N/A
N/A
$3,001
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$966
N/A
N/A
$746
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
$624
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
$342
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six separate outcome ranges are defined: 68° or below, 69-70°, 71-72°, 73-74°, 75-76°, and 77° or above. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these ranges, the corresponding market resolves to Yes, with all other markets resolving to No. All outcomes share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If no valid data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.