TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The maximum temperature in Washington DC on June 5, 2026, will be recorded according to the National Weather Service's daily climatological report.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in Washington DC on June 5, 2026, is priced as binary or range-based contracts, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature thresholds or bands. Each contract reflects the market's probability that the actual high will fall within that range. Prices move between 0 and 100 cents as traders adjust their positions, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. The order book shows real-time bids and asks, allowing you to enter at your preferred price or accept immediate execution at current market rates.
The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the highest temperature in Washington DC on June 5, 2026, has been officially recorded. Resolution depends on the verified daily high temperature reported by the designated weather authority for that location and date. Once the official measurement is confirmed, the outcome is determined and winning contracts are paid out while losing contracts expire worthless. Traders should monitor weather data sources in the days leading up to and on June 5 to track how actual conditions align with market expectations.
Several factors could shift odds for the June 5, 2026, Washington DC high temperature. Long-range weather pattern changes, such as shifts in jet stream positioning or the development of high-pressure systems, typically move the market weeks in advance. Seasonal climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature trends for early June in DC all influence trader positioning. As June 5 approaches, updated medium-range forecasts from the National Weather Service and private meteorology firms become more precise, often triggering sharp repricing. Real-time atmospheric data and weekend weather model runs in the days before the event can cause rapid market swings.