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$1,434,646,834

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2,689

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Highest temperature in Washington DC on Jun 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Washington DC on Jun 5, 2026?

Volume:
$39,235

92° to 93°

 - Kalshi

92° to 93° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

92° to 93°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,612
N/A
N/A
$5,344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,739
N/A
N/A
$12,735
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,570
N/A
N/A
$4,218
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,244
N/A
N/A
$3,093
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,137
N/A
N/A
$3,757
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$934
N/A
N/A
$904
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The maximum temperature in Washington DC on June 5, 2026, will be recorded according to the National Weather Service's daily climatological report.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional weather analyst forecasts because markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and broader information flows. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical climate data, prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many participants with financial incentives to forecast accurately. Comparing Kalshi odds to National Weather Service or private meteorology firm predictions can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios. These differences highlight how markets and expert models sometimes weight uncertainty and seasonal patterns differently.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in Washington DC on June 5, 2026, is priced as binary or range-based contracts, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature thresholds or bands. Each contract reflects the market's probability that the actual high will fall within that range. Prices move between 0 and 100 cents as traders adjust their positions, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. The order book shows real-time bids and asks, allowing you to enter at your preferred price or accept immediate execution at current market rates.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the highest temperature in Washington DC on June 5, 2026, has been officially recorded. Resolution depends on the verified daily high temperature reported by the designated weather authority for that location and date. Once the official measurement is confirmed, the outcome is determined and winning contracts are paid out while losing contracts expire worthless. Traders should monitor weather data sources in the days leading up to and on June 5 to track how actual conditions align with market expectations.

Several factors could shift odds for the June 5, 2026, Washington DC high temperature. Long-range weather pattern changes, such as shifts in jet stream positioning or the development of high-pressure systems, typically move the market weeks in advance. Seasonal climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature trends for early June in DC all influence trader positioning. As June 5 approaches, updated medium-range forecasts from the National Weather Service and private meteorology firms become more precise, often triggering sharp repricing. Real-time atmospheric data and weekend weather model runs in the days before the event can cause rapid market swings.