TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends on how hot it gets, with different ranges determining the result. Official data from the National Weather Service will be used to confirm the final temperature.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC on July 29, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature is 82°F or below, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 83°F and 84°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for temperatures between 85°F-86°F, 87°F-88°F, and 89°F-90°F. For any temperature above 90°F, the final market resolves to Yes. The official NWS data, accessible via the provided URL, is the sole source for determining the outcome. Traders must use the latest version of the data and remain cautious about preliminary reports, rounding, and conversion nuances, as these can affect interpretations before the official report is finalized.