Highest temperature in Washington DC on Jul 26, 2026?

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the maximum temperature recorded in Washington DC on July 26, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within the range of 84°F or below, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 85°F and 86°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for subsequent ranges up to 91-92°F. For any temperature above 92°F, the final market resolves to Yes. The official data source is critical, and traders must refer to the NWS report available via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Washington-National' with the Daily Climate Report. It is important to use the latest version of the data and to be aware that different cities may update their reports at varying frequencies. Preliminary data from other sources like AccuWeather or Google Weather should not be considered definitive, as the NWS report is the sole authority for resolution. Traders should also be cautious regarding any rounding or conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data.