TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Washington DC on Jul 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Washington DC on Jul 12, 2026?

Volume:
$47,532

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,099
N/A
N/A
$21,462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,408
N/A
N/A
$12,421
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,712
N/A
N/A
$3,549
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,335
N/A
N/A
$2,084
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,098
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$879
N/A
N/A
$770
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event forecasts the peak temperature in Washington DC on July 12, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for that date, which records the highest temperature reached at Washington-National Airport.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC on July 12, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. The temperature is divided into six distinct ranges: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, and 88°F or above. Each range corresponds to a separate market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that bracket. Official data must be obtained from the NWS Climatological Report accessed through the specified URL and location selection, not from preliminary reports or alternative weather sources. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances that could affect final resolution.