TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$24,594

91° to 92°

 - Kalshi

91° to 92° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

91° to 92°

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,824
N/A
N/A
$6,252
Settled
Yes
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,528
N/A
N/A
$2,747
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,392
N/A
N/A
$3,744
Settled
No
kalshi

95° or above

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,857
N/A
N/A
$2,322
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
$435
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends on official weather service data, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day. It reflects real-world temperature measurement without complex market mechanics.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC on August 6, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 86°F or below, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, 93-94°F, or 95°F and above. The official data source must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, with traders advised to use the latest available report and remain cautious about potential rounding or conversion nuances in preliminary data. No alternative sources like AccuWeather or Google Weather determine outcomes, ensuring consistency through NWS's authoritative records.