TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$42,273

89° to 90°

 - Kalshi

89° to 90° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° to 90°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,139
N/A
N/A
$7,458
Settled
Yes
kalshi

88° or below

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,545
N/A
N/A
$6,927
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,540
N/A
N/A
$5,271
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,446
N/A
N/A
$1,135
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
$732
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$772
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends solely on official National Weather Service data for that day, making it a straightforward test of actual weather conditions against predefined temperature ranges.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC on August 11, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the temperature falls within the specified range for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the official NWS report being the sole authority for determining the outcome. Traders must access the latest version of the data from the provided NWS URL, noting that different cities may update their reports at varying frequencies. Preliminary data from other sources should not be considered definitive, as the final resolution depends exclusively on the official NWS report, which may include rounding and conversion nuances that could affect market outcomes.