TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.1b

24H VOL:

$114,515,047

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,676,623,266

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,636,853,979

494,282

Markets across

37,363

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,865

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 17?
🌟New⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 17?

Oct 15, 2026, 12:57 AM EST - Oct 17, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$26,792
Volume 24h:
$18,241N/A
Liquidity:
$39,148
9%
Open interest:
$14,835N/A

13°C

 - Polymarket

13°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 17, 2026

Time left: 12h:55m:57s

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?

38%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 38¢ buys you 263 shares | Odds: 38% Total Payout: $263 | Net Profit: $163 Multiplier: 2.63x | ROI: 163% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

13°C

Trade
38%
12%
Yes 38¢No 63¢
1¢
$8,235
$3,550
117%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

14°C

37%
3%
Yes 38¢No 64¢
2¢
$743
$4,377
165%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

12°C

13%
6%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
3¢
$870
$4,569
115%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

15°C or higher

11%
7%
Yes 11.4¢No 90.4¢
1.8¢
$408
$3,827
333%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

11°C

3%
4%
Yes 3.9¢No 97.8¢
1.7¢
$970
$2,966
222%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

10°C

1%
1%
Yes 1.8¢No 99.5¢
1.3¢
$1,008
$2,531
2,143%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

9°C

1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.4¢
—
$1,340
$2,168
1,787%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

8°C

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,873
$1,219
268%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

5°C or below

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$8,438
$256
140%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

7°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,718
$741
52%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
polymarket

6°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,546
$588
0%
N/A
N/A
12h 55m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.