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Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 27?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 27?

Volume:
$63,179

35°C

 - Polymarket

35°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

35°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Warsaw temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Warsaw on June 27. Traders here are pricing their beliefs about whether the peak temperature will reach 35°C on that date. The dashboard displays current odds, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume of $29,982, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment. Total liquidity in this market stands at $63,179, reflecting active participation from traders betting on the outcome.

Prediction markets like this one aggregate distributed trader knowledge in real time, often capturing signals that traditional weather forecasts may lag behind. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical data, traders here incorporate breaking weather patterns, seasonal anomalies, and late-breaking reports into their pricing. The market's current odds reflect what thousands of independent participants believe will happen, creating a dynamic consensus that can diverge from static analyst predictions. Comparing the two reveals where market participants see risk or opportunity that official forecasts may not yet emphasize.

This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once June 27 has passed and the day's weather data becomes available. The outcome is determined by the highest temperature recorded in Warsaw on that date, verified against credible public sources. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once the result is confirmed and the market settles. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as new weather forecasts and real-time conditions emerge.

Several factors could shift odds significantly before June 27. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies, atmospheric pressure systems moving into Central Europe, and historical temperature records for that date in Warsaw all influence trader positioning. Major weather pattern changes—such as heat waves or cold fronts—reported in the days leading up to the event typically trigger sharp price movements. Real-time temperature readings in the week before June 27 will likely drive the most volatile trading, as traders adjust their bets based on how close conditions are tracking to the 35°C threshold.