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Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?

Volume:
$58,278

20°C

 - Polymarket

20°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

20°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

22°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Warsaw's June 13 high temperature, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on meteorological models and historical data. Markets often incorporate broader information faster, including recent climate patterns and seasonal trends. Comparing the market's implied probability to official weather service forecasts or long-range climate models can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than institutional forecasters expect.

The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, after the highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13 has been recorded and verified. Resolution is determined by the actual observed maximum temperature on that date, measured by official weather stations or recognized meteorological sources in Warsaw. Once the final temperature is confirmed, the outcome contract matching that result is settled at full value, and all other contracts expire worthless. Traders should monitor official weather data sources as the event date approaches.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal climate anomalies, and updated long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies can significantly move odds. Extreme heat waves or cold fronts affecting Central Europe in early June would shift trader expectations. Real-time weather model updates released in the days before June 13 often trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, historical temperature records for that date and broader climate trends for the region influence how traders assess the probability of different temperature outcomes, causing continuous adjustment of market prices.