TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Trenton on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of meteorological forecasting accuracy.
These markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Trenton on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62°F-63°F, 64°F-65°F, 66°F-67°F, 68°F-69°F, or 70°F and above. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. All markets share common secondary rules regarding data verification: preliminary Weather Company data may vary from final reports due to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The status of “Final” on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.