TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Trenton on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of meteorological forecasting accuracy.
These markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Trenton (CLITTN) on October 22, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 63° or below, 64-65°, 66-67°, 68-69°, 70-71°, and 72° or above. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to Yes, while all others resolve to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary Weather Company data may undergo revisions, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If final data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.