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Highest temperature in Toronto on June 7?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Toronto on June 7?

Volume:
$48,195

24°C

 - Polymarket

24°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

24°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,693
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$789
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders on Polymarket, while traditional analyst forecasts come from meteorological models and seasonal climate data. Markets often incorporate broader information sets and adjust dynamically as new weather data emerges. Comparing the market's implied temperature range to Environment Canada or other official forecasters can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic scenarios than institutional weather models suggest for Toronto on June 7.

The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, after the highest temperature in Toronto on June 7 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by official temperature data for that date. The outcome is settled based on the actual peak temperature recorded by the designated weather authority, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official weather records as the resolution date approaches to understand which outcome bracket will be confirmed.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems affecting Eastern Canada can significantly move odds. Tropical systems, heat domes, or cold fronts predicted to influence Toronto in early June would shift market expectations. Real-time weather model updates from meteorological agencies typically cause price movements as traders adjust positions. Unusual climate anomalies or El Niño/La Niña developments could also influence longer-term temperature expectations, causing traders to reprrice the likelihood of above or below-average heat on that specific day.