TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.1b

24H VOL:

$114,515,047

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,676,623,266

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,636,853,979

494,282

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37,363

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,865

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 17?
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polymarket

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 17?

Oct 15, 2026, 12:56 AM EST - Oct 17, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$26,773
Volume 24h:
$18,015N/A
Liquidity:
$71,773
51%
Open interest:
$14,004N/A

24°C

 - Polymarket

24°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 17, 2026

Time left: 12h:57m:02s

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?

47%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 48¢ buys you 208 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $208 | Net Profit: $108 Multiplier: 2.08x | ROI: 108% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

24°C

Trade
47%
7%
Yes 48¢No 54¢
2¢
$1,165
$6,748
90%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

23°C

44%
7%
Yes 46¢No 59¢
5¢
$768
$3,858
189%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

25°C

8%
1%
Yes 9¢No 93¢
2¢
$1,378
$3,089
286%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

22°C

4%
1%
Yes 5.9¢No 98.2¢
4.1¢
$888
$1,487
261%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

26°C

1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.4¢
0.6¢
$1,689
$2,142
269%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

27°C

1%
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.8¢
1.2¢
$1,453
$1,552
221%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

28°C

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,943
$2,391
355%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

19°C or below

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$18,387
$4,339
1,853%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

21°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$21,931
$772
73%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

20°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$15,119
$220
0%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
polymarket

29°C or higher

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,052
$175
0%
N/A
N/A
12h 57m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.