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Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 2?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 2?

Volume:
$70,884

26°C

 - Polymarket

26°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

26°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 2 is priced as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. Traders buy and sell shares in their preferred outcome, with the price of each share reflecting the market's implied probability. As new weather data arrives or seasonal patterns shift, prices adjust dynamically. The outcome with the highest current price typically indicates the market's leading expectation for Tokyo's peak temperature on that date.

The Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 2 market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the day has concluded and official temperature data is finalized. Resolution is determined by the actual highest temperature recorded in Tokyo on June 2, sourced from authoritative meteorological records. Once the official reading is confirmed, the market settles to the outcome contract matching the recorded high, and traders' positions are paid out accordingly based on their holdings.

Several factors can shift odds for Tokyo's June 2 high temperature. Updated weather models from the Japan Meteorological Agency or international forecasting centers may signal stronger heat systems or unexpected cooling patterns. Large-scale atmospheric events, such as typhoon formation or shifts in the Pacific jet stream, can dramatically alter expectations. Real-time temperature trends in late May provide crucial signals about early-summer heat intensity. Additionally, seasonal climate patterns and historical June temperature data inform trader positioning as the event date approaches.