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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 9?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 9?

Volume:
$36,718

31°C

 - Polymarket

31°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

31°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Odds & Prediction Markets dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the highest temperature recorded in Tel Aviv on June 9. The dashboard displays current market probabilities for each temperature outcome, 24-hour trading volume of $27,703, and cumulative group volume of $36,718. You can monitor how odds shift as the event date approaches, view the leading outcome, and analyze trader activity to understand market sentiment around Tel Aviv's peak temperature forecast.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader beliefs about Tel Aviv's highest temperature on June 9, often differing from traditional meteorologist forecasts. While weather analysts rely on atmospheric models and historical data, prediction markets incorporate real-time information, trader expertise, and financial incentives. Comparing Polymarket odds to published forecasts from meteorological agencies or climate services can reveal whether markets are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than official predictions suggest.

On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 9 is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into probability percentages for each temperature bracket or outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing different temperature ranges, and the market price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by participants. As new information emerges or trading volume increases, prices adjust dynamically, allowing continuous discovery of the market's consensus temperature forecast.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 9 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from recognized meteorological stations or weather services operating in Tel Aviv. Once the final temperature is confirmed, the market settles to the corresponding outcome bracket or value, and traders' positions are paid out according to their holdings.

Several factors could shift market odds for Tel Aviv's peak temperature on June 9. Updated weather forecasts from meteorological agencies, seasonal climate patterns, and atmospheric pressure systems developing over the Mediterranean region will influence trader expectations. Unusual heat waves, cold fronts, or precipitation events in the weeks leading up to June 9 may prompt repricing. Additionally, historical temperature records for that date and real-time weather data closer to the event will drive trading activity and adjust market probabilities.