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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 26?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 26?

Volume:
$53,609

29°C

 - Polymarket

29°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

29°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Tel Aviv temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Tel Aviv on June 26. Traders here are pricing their collective expectation of whether the peak temperature will hit a specific threshold. The dashboard displays current odds, 24-hour volume of $31,890, and historical price movement, giving you a live window into how market participants are positioning around this weather event. Total liquidity across this prediction market stands at $53,609.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders worldwide and often diverge from traditional weather analyst forecasts. While meteorologists rely on numerical models and historical data, this market aggregates dispersed information and incentivizes accuracy through financial stakes. Comparing the odds here to published forecasts from national weather services or climate analysts can reveal where the crowd sees risk differently. Markets tend to update faster than periodic analyst updates, making them a dynamic complement to conventional forecasting.

This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Tel Aviv on June 26 is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verified data from credible public sources documenting the actual peak temperature for that day. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once the event is finalized and the market settles. Until then, prices will fluctuate as new weather forecasts and real-time conditions emerge.

Several factors could shift odds in this market before June 26 arrives. Updated weather models and seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies often trigger repricing, especially as the event date approaches. Unusual atmospheric patterns, heat waves, or cold fronts affecting the Eastern Mediterranean region would prompt traders to reassess. Real-time temperature readings in the days leading up to June 26 will also influence positioning. Breaking news about climate anomalies or regional weather systems could accelerate volatility and attract fresh trading activity.