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Highest temperature in Taipei on June 18?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Taipei on June 18?

Volume:
$89,199

35°C

 - Polymarket

35°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

35°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,066
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Taipei temperature forecast market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether the highest temperature in Taipei will reach 37°C or higher on June 18. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume, allowing traders to monitor how sentiment shifts as the event date approaches. This live data helps participants gauge collective expectations about peak heat conditions in Taipei on that specific day.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information, whereas traditional meteorological forecasts rely on physics-based models and historical climate data. This market prices the likelihood that Taipei's high will reach 37°C or above, offering a market-driven perspective that can diverge from official weather bureau predictions. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more or less extreme heat than conventional forecasters expect, providing a complementary signal for assessing temperature risk.

On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" (37°C or higher) and "no" (below 37°C) outcomes, with prices determined by automated market-making and order-book dynamics. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all active traders; as new information emerges or event date approaches, prices adjust to balance supply and demand. Share prices range from 0 to 1 and directly represent the implied probability of each outcome.

This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether Taipei's highest recorded temperature on June 18 reaches or exceeds 37°C. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout once the final temperature is established and the market settles, typically within hours of the close.

Weather model updates, seasonal climate patterns, and atmospheric pressure systems tracking toward Taiwan can all shift odds in this market. Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration carry particular weight, as do broader regional heat waves or monsoon activity. As June 18 approaches, real-time weather data and intraday temperature readings will increasingly influence trader positioning, with sharp moves likely if forecasts suddenly show extreme heat or cooling trends.