TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Prediction markets and traditional weather forecasts operate differently. While meteorologists issue point estimates and confidence intervals based on atmospheric models, this market aggregates trader beliefs into probabilistic odds. The two approaches often align on broad trends but can diverge when traders incorporate non-meteorological factors—such as historical patterns or recent anomalies—that analysts may weight differently. Comparing the market's implied probability to official forecasts can reveal where consensus is strongest or where uncertainty remains highest.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once June 29 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Singapore is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to determine which temperature bracket or exact value occurred. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution hinges on official temperature data from that date.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before Jun 29, 2026. Updated seasonal forecasts or tropical weather patterns—such as approaching monsoons or high-pressure systems—may alter expectations. Real-time atmospheric data, historical temperature records for late June, and any unusual climate anomalies will influence trader positioning. Additionally, shifts in broader climate indices or unexpected weather events in the region could prompt rapid repricing as participants reassess the likelihood of extreme or moderate temperatures on that specific day.