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Highest temperature in Singapore on June 16?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Singapore on June 16?

Volume:
$58,628

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Singapore temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the highest temperature expected in Singapore on June 16. Traders use this interface to view current market sentiment, monitor 24-hour trading volume, and review how odds have shifted as new weather data emerges. The dashboard aggregates all buy and sell activity on this specific event, giving participants a live snapshot of what the crowd believes the peak temperature will reach on that date.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional meteorologist forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader positioning, risk appetite, and collective intelligence. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical patterns, this market reflects what thousands of participants are willing to stake money on. Comparing the implied temperature range from current odds to published forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service can reveal where the crowd sees upside or downside risk relative to expert consensus.

On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—temperature ranges like 30–32°C, 32–34°C, and so on—has its own price, and the sum of all outcome probabilities equals 100%. As traders bet on their preferred range, the price of that outcome rises or falls, incentivizing arbitrage and discovery of the true market-implied temperature distribution.

This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, once June 16 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Singapore that day is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to determine which temperature bracket was correct. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the market end time, once official data is published.

Weather model updates, monsoon activity, and atmospheric pressure changes in the region can all shift odds significantly. Major weather alerts or unusual seasonal patterns may trigger repricing as traders reassess tail-risk scenarios. Real-time temperature readings in the days leading up to June 16 will narrow uncertainty and compress odds around the most likely outcome. Breaking news about regional climate anomalies or tropical systems could also spark sharp moves in this market.