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Highest temperature in Singapore on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Singapore on June 11?

Volume:
$109,814

30°C

 - Polymarket

30°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

30°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,024
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time aggregation of trader beliefs about Singapore's June 11 high temperature, often incorporating meteorological models and seasonal patterns faster than traditional analyst consensus. Meteorological agencies and climate analysts typically issue forecasts based on historical data and atmospheric modeling, while prediction markets price in live information and trader conviction. The market odds may diverge from analyst point estimates when traders anticipate weather system changes, monsoon activity shifts, or urban heat effects that analysts have not yet fully weighted. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is pricing in tail risks or confidence intervals that official forecasts downplay.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the highest temperature in Singapore on June 11 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by the official maximum temperature reading for that date from the designated meteorological authority. Resolution occurs once the final data is published and confirmed, at which point winning shares are paid out and losing shares expire worthless. Traders should monitor the official weather station data and any platform announcements regarding the exact source and timing of the temperature measurement to understand when settlement will occur.

Key signals include updated seasonal monsoon forecasts, tropical weather system development in the Indian Ocean or South China Sea, and real-time atmospheric pressure and humidity readings as June approaches. Urban heat island effects and local air quality conditions can also influence daytime highs. Major weather events such as tropical storms or unexpected cloud cover would shift trader expectations downward, while high-pressure systems and clear skies would push odds toward higher temperatures. Historical June temperature patterns and any anomalies in May readings may prompt traders to adjust their positions. Meteorological agency updates and regional climate alerts will likely trigger sharp repricing.