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Highest temperature in Singapore on July 12?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Singapore on July 12?

Volume:
$53,729

30°C

 - Polymarket

30°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

30°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Singapore temperature record market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature in Singapore on July 12. Traders here are pricing their beliefs about whether the peak daily temperature will reach specific thresholds. The dashboard displays current odds, historical price movements, and $33,952 in 24-hour volume, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment around this weather event. This market reflects collective forecasting by participants who monitor meteorological conditions and seasonal patterns to inform their positions.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional weather analyst forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader behavior and incentivized risk-taking. While meteorologists issue deterministic temperature ranges based on atmospheric models, this market aggregates dispersed information through price discovery. Traders betting on whether the highest temperature will match specific outcomes may spot patterns or weight recent data differently than published forecasts. Comparing the current odds to official weather agency predictions can reveal where the crowd sees upside or downside risk relative to expert consensus.

This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once July 12 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Singapore for that day is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verified meteorological data from credible public sources tracking actual weather conditions. Whichever outcome matches the official recorded high temperature will be marked correct, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as new weather forecasts and real-time conditions emerge.

Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Updated weather forecasts from meteorological agencies—especially those predicting heat waves or unusual atmospheric patterns—often trigger sharp price moves. Real-time satellite data, monsoon activity, and regional climate anomalies can signal higher or lower temperatures ahead. Major weather events in nearby regions may also influence Singapore's conditions. As the event date approaches, intraday weather updates and live temperature readings will likely drive increased trading volume and volatility, reflecting traders' evolving confidence in specific temperature outcomes.