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Highest temperature in Singapore on July 1?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Singapore on July 1?

Volume:
$175,506

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,954
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Singapore temperature record market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds, historical price movement, and trading activity for this market. You can monitor the current probability that the highest temperature in Singapore will reach 31°C on July 1, along with 24-hour volume of $137,982 and total liquidity. The interface displays how traders are pricing this weather outcome as new information emerges, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment around the day's peak temperature forecast.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical data, this market prices in real-time information from participants who may incorporate additional signals or local knowledge. The current odds suggest traders see a meaningful probability of the 31°C threshold being met. Comparing these odds to official forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authority can reveal where the crowd's view aligns with or diverges from expert models.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Singapore for that day becomes verifiable. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual peak temperature against the 31°C threshold specified in the market. Resolution relies on credible public reporting from meteorological authorities and official weather records. Once the day concludes and data is confirmed, traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout.

Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Updated seasonal forecasts, atmospheric pressure systems, or monsoon patterns affecting Singapore's weather could trigger repricing. Real-time temperature readings as July 1 approaches will likely drive significant movement, especially in the final hours. El Niño or La Niña conditions, historical heat records, and urban heat island effects may also influence trader positioning. Breaking weather alerts or unexpected climate anomalies could cause sharp swings in the probability of hitting 31°C.