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Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?

Volume:
$163,979

28°C

 - Polymarket

28°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

28°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$787
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders on Polymarket, while analyst forecasts come from meteorological agencies and climate models. Markets often incorporate broader information sets and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes, whereas analyst forecasts rely on established atmospheric science and historical data. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish temperature scenarios than official weather predictions for Shanghai on June 10, highlighting where market sentiment diverges from expert consensus.

The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the highest temperature in Shanghai on June 10 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by official temperature data for that day, typically sourced from Shanghai's meteorological authority. The outcome settles based on whether the recorded high meets or exceeds the specified threshold, converting trader positions to final payouts. Traders should monitor official weather stations and announcements as the event date approaches to understand how resolution will be determined.

Key signals include seasonal weather pattern updates, monsoon forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems affecting East Asia in early June. El Niño or La Niña conditions can influence regional temperatures. Real-time weather models released in the days leading up to June 10 will sharpen expectations, as will any unusual heat waves or cold fronts in the region. Trading volume and price shifts on Polymarket often accelerate as the resolution date nears and meteorological confidence increases, reflecting traders' updated beliefs about Shanghai's peak temperature.