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Highest temperature in Seoul on May 30?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on May 30?

Volume:
$247,914

24°C

 - Polymarket

24°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

24°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Seoul's highest temperature will reach exactly 25°C on May 30, 2026, with a leading probability of 32.5% on Polymarket. The second most likely outcome—a high of 24°C—stands at 23.5%. Resolution will be determined by historical weather data from Wunderground, using measurements from Incheon International Airport Station. Watch the actual temperature readings as May 30, 2026 approaches to see which range the day's high will fall into.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Seoul on May 30 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for temperature outcomes on that specific date in Seoul. It displays the current probability of each temperature threshold, 24-hour volume of $122,115, and historical price movements. Traders use this data to monitor how market sentiment evolves as May 30 approaches. The dashboard aggregates all active outcome contracts into a single view, helping participants understand which temperature ranges the market currently favors most.

The Highest temperature in Seoul on May 30 market resolves on May 30, 2026, after the day's weather data is finalized. Resolution is determined by the actual highest temperature recorded in Seoul on May 30. The outcome that matches the official recorded temperature will be deemed correct, and traders holding shares in that outcome receive their payout. Markets typically close to new trades shortly before the resolution timestamp to allow time for data verification and settlement processing.

Several factors could shift odds for Seoul's highest temperature on May 30. Updated weather forecasts from meteorological agencies, particularly those issued 7–14 days before the event, often trigger significant repricing. Seasonal climate anomalies, such as early heat waves or unexpected cold fronts, can alter trader expectations. Historical temperature patterns for late May in Seoul provide a baseline, but deviations from normal conditions drive trading activity. Real-time atmospheric data, ocean temperatures, and pressure systems also influence market sentiment as May 30 approaches.