TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 7?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 7?

Volume:
$271,117

24°C

 - Polymarket

24°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

24°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$58,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

27°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Seoul on June 7 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this weather event. It displays the current implied probability of each temperature outcome, 24-hour trading volume of $244,847, and cumulative group volume of $271,071. Users can monitor how market sentiment shifts as new weather forecasts emerge and the event date approaches. The dashboard provides a transparent view of how traders are pricing Seoul's peak temperature on that specific date.

On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Seoul on June 7 is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into implied probabilities for each temperature outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new information arrives, including updated weather models, seasonal patterns, and historical Seoul temperature data. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 7, 2026, when the market resolves based on the official recorded high temperature. The current market odds reflect the collective expectation of all active traders on this venue.

The Highest temperature in Seoul on June 7 market resolves at Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official recorded high temperature for Seoul on that date, sourced from authoritative meteorological data. The outcome is binary or multi-outcome depending on the specific temperature brackets offered in the market. Once the actual high temperature is confirmed and published, the market settles automatically, and traders' positions are paid out according to which outcome bracket the final temperature falls into.

Several factors could shift odds for Seoul's June 7 high temperature. Updated weather model runs from meteorological agencies often trigger repricing as forecasters refine their predictions. Seasonal climate patterns, such as early monsoon onset or heat waves, influence trader expectations. Historical temperature anomalies and long-range forecasts may prompt position adjustments. Real-time atmospheric conditions in the days leading up to June 7—including pressure systems, humidity, and cloud cover—can rapidly move the market. Major weather events or pattern changes in East Asia could also alter the probability distribution across temperature outcomes.