TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Seoul on June 7 is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into implied probabilities for each temperature outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new information arrives, including updated weather models, seasonal patterns, and historical Seoul temperature data. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 7, 2026, when the market resolves based on the official recorded high temperature. The current market odds reflect the collective expectation of all active traders on this venue.
The Highest temperature in Seoul on June 7 market resolves at Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official recorded high temperature for Seoul on that date, sourced from authoritative meteorological data. The outcome is binary or multi-outcome depending on the specific temperature brackets offered in the market. Once the actual high temperature is confirmed and published, the market settles automatically, and traders' positions are paid out according to which outcome bracket the final temperature falls into.
Several factors could shift odds for Seoul's June 7 high temperature. Updated weather model runs from meteorological agencies often trigger repricing as forecasters refine their predictions. Seasonal climate patterns, such as early monsoon onset or heat waves, influence trader expectations. Historical temperature anomalies and long-range forecasts may prompt position adjustments. Real-time atmospheric conditions in the days leading up to June 7—including pressure systems, humidity, and cloud cover—can rapidly move the market. Major weather events or pattern changes in East Asia could also alter the probability distribution across temperature outcomes.