TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 5?

Volume:
$216,560

23°C

 - Polymarket

23°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

23°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

21°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,543
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Seoul on June 5 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and pricing for this weather event. It displays the current probability implied by trader positions, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $181,867. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades occur, allowing you to monitor how market sentiment shifts as June 5 approaches. You can view the leading outcome and compare it against historical temperature records for Seoul to contextualize the market's expectations.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Seoul on June 5 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell based on their belief in specific temperature ranges or thresholds. Each outcome has an implied probability derived from its share price, and the market uses an automated market maker to set prices dynamically. Traders profit by correctly predicting which temperature range will occur, with payouts determined by the final resolved outcome. Prices adjust in real time as new information and trading activity flow in.

The Highest temperature in Seoul on June 5 market resolves at Jun 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official recorded maximum temperature in Seoul on that date, sourced from authoritative meteorological records. Once the day concludes and the final temperature is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or threshold the actual temperature falls into. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Several factors could shift odds for Seoul's highest temperature on June 5. Major weather pattern changes, such as approaching typhoons, cold fronts, or high-pressure systems, will influence trader expectations. Updates from meteorological agencies and seasonal forecasts released closer to the date carry significant weight. Anomalous global climate events or regional heat waves could reshape sentiment. As June 5 approaches, daily weather models become more precise, typically narrowing uncertainty and sharpening market pricing. Real-time atmospheric data and trader positioning adjustments will drive continuous price movement.