TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Seoul on June 5 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell based on their belief in specific temperature ranges or thresholds. Each outcome has an implied probability derived from its share price, and the market uses an automated market maker to set prices dynamically. Traders profit by correctly predicting which temperature range will occur, with payouts determined by the final resolved outcome. Prices adjust in real time as new information and trading activity flow in.
The Highest temperature in Seoul on June 5 market resolves at Jun 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official recorded maximum temperature in Seoul on that date, sourced from authoritative meteorological records. Once the day concludes and the final temperature is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or threshold the actual temperature falls into. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Several factors could shift odds for Seoul's highest temperature on June 5. Major weather pattern changes, such as approaching typhoons, cold fronts, or high-pressure systems, will influence trader expectations. Updates from meteorological agencies and seasonal forecasts released closer to the date carry significant weight. Anomalous global climate events or regional heat waves could reshape sentiment. As June 5 approaches, daily weather models become more precise, typically narrowing uncertainty and sharpening market pricing. Real-time atmospheric data and trader positioning adjustments will drive continuous price movement.