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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 30?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 30?

Volume:
$492,819

28°C

 - Polymarket

28°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

28°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

21°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,853
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Seoul temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature Seoul will reach on June 30. The interface displays the current probability estimate alongside historical price movements, allowing traders to monitor how market sentiment shifts as new weather data emerges. This live pricing reflects the collective forecast of all active participants, updated continuously as buy and sell orders flow through the platform.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader behavior and risk appetite alongside expert models. While weather analysts publish deterministic temperature ranges based on atmospheric data, this market aggregates the beliefs of many participants with financial stakes in the outcome. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in tail risks or consensus scenarios that official forecasts may underweight or overlook.

On Polymarket, traders set odds by buying and selling shares that represent different temperature outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades at a price between 0 and 1, where the price directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new information arrives—updated weather models, seasonal patterns, or real-time atmospheric conditions—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down to reflect changing expectations about Seoul's peak temperature on the specified date.

This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once June 30 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Seoul that day is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verified public reporting from credible meteorological sources, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Traders holding shares in the outcome that matches the recorded temperature receive their payout, while other positions expire worthless.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and real-time atmospheric data releases will likely drive significant price movements in this market. Tropical systems, monsoon timing, or anomalous heat waves affecting East Asia could reshape trader expectations weeks in advance. As June approaches, daily weather updates and short-range model consensus will tighten the range of plausible outcomes, causing volatility to concentrate around the most probable temperature bands.