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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 29?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 29?

Volume:
$474,040

26°C

 - Polymarket

26°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

26°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$102,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Seoul temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Seoul on June 29. Traders here are pricing their beliefs about whether the day's peak temperature will reach 30°C or higher. The interface displays current market odds, historical price movement, and participant activity, giving you a live snapshot of how the crowd is positioning ahead of the event. This dynamic pricing reflects collective expectations as new information and forecasts emerge.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional weather forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and risk appetite alongside meteorological models. While professional meteorologists publish point estimates and confidence intervals, this market aggregates the financial stakes of thousands of participants betting on the same outcome. Analysts may issue a single consensus forecast, whereas traders here are continuously repricing based on new data, model updates, and market dynamics. The two approaches complement each other: one is expert-driven, the other is incentive-driven.

This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once June 29 has passed and the day's weather data is finalized. The outcome is determined by the highest temperature recorded in Seoul on that date, verified against credible public sources. If the peak temperature reaches 30°C or higher, the yes outcome wins; otherwise, no prevails. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event, allowing traders to settle positions and move capital to the next opportunity.

Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jun 29, 2026. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range weather models are primary drivers, especially as June approaches. Real-time atmospheric patterns, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and regional heat waves can all influence trader positioning. News of unusual climate events or volcanic activity affecting solar radiation may also trigger repricing. Additionally, as the date draws closer, short-range forecasts become more reliable, often causing sharper price movements as uncertainty narrows and consensus hardens.