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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 26?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 26?

Volume:
$253,220

25°C

 - Polymarket

25°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Seoul temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Seoul on June 26. The interface displays current market prices, 24-hour trading volume of $195,140, and cumulative volume of $253,220 across all outcome contracts. Traders use this data to monitor how market sentiment shifts as new weather models and forecasts emerge, allowing participants to gauge consensus expectations for peak temperature conditions on that specific date.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from traditional meteorologist forecasts because they incorporate real-time information, economic incentives, and collective intelligence. While weather analysts publish deterministic point forecasts or ranges based on numerical models, this market prices uncertainty through continuous trading. Comparing the implied probability from market odds to published forecasts from Seoul's meteorological authority or international weather services can reveal where traders believe official models may be underestimating or overestimating temperature risk on June 26.

This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once June 26 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Seoul that day is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing actual recorded temperatures against the predefined thresholds embedded in each contract. Resolution occurs after official meteorological data is published and confirmed, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative information before payouts are finalized.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, or anomalous atmospheric conditions could significantly move prices in this market. Real-time developments such as heat waves, cold fronts, or changes to the jet stream position over East Asia may prompt traders to reassess their positions. Additionally, historical temperature records for Seoul in late June, climate indices like the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and medium-range weather model updates released in the days leading up to June 26 will likely drive trading activity and price adjustments.