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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 13?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 13?

Volume:
$333,483

27°C

 - Polymarket

27°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

27°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often incorporate meteorological forecasts, historical climate patterns, and seasonal trends. Professional weather analysts typically publish point estimates or ranges for Seoul's June temperatures based on atmospheric models and historical data. Market odds may diverge from single-analyst forecasts due to uncertainty pricing and trader risk preferences. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to published forecasts from Korea Meteorological Administration or international weather services can reveal whether markets are pricing in more or less optimism about extreme heat than official predictions suggest.

The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, after the highest temperature in Seoul on June 13 has been recorded and verified. Resolution is determined by official temperature data for that date. Traders should monitor the specified data source and resolution criteria outlined in the market terms to understand which measurement point and time window define the outcome. Once the actual high temperature is confirmed, the market settles and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.

Key signals include updated weather forecasts from meteorological agencies, seasonal climate patterns, atmospheric pressure systems, and jet stream positioning over East Asia. Major weather events such as typhoons, monsoons, or heat waves in the region can shift expectations significantly. Real-time temperature readings in the days leading up to June 13 provide concrete data that traders use to refine predictions. Long-range climate indices, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature records for Seoul in mid-June also influence market pricing as traders assess the likelihood of unusually hot or cool conditions.