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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 11?

Volume:
$291,595

23°C

 - Polymarket

23°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

23°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,984
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,875
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations and can be compared against meteorological forecasts and seasonal climate models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration. While analysts rely on atmospheric data and historical patterns, prediction markets incorporate trader conviction and incorporate new information continuously. Comparing the market's implied probability to official forecasts helps identify whether traders are pricing in more extreme or moderate conditions than experts currently project for Seoul on June 11.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the highest temperature in Seoul on June 11 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by the official temperature data for that day, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Once the event concludes and the final measurement is confirmed, the winning outcome contract is paid out and losing contracts expire worthless. Traders can hold positions until resolution or exit earlier if market prices move in their favor.

Several factors could shift market odds for Seoul's peak temperature on June 11. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies, changes in atmospheric pressure systems, and tropical weather patterns approaching East Asia could all influence trader expectations. Real-time weather model updates in the days leading up to June 11 will likely trigger price movements as new data becomes available. Additionally, historical temperature anomalies or unusual climate events in the region could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust the market's implied probability.