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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 1?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 1?

Volume:
$261,973

25°C

 - Polymarket

25°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders and differ from traditional weather analyst forecasts. While meteorologists issue point estimates and confidence intervals based on atmospheric models, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes. Comparing the market's implied temperature distribution to official forecasts from Korea Meteorological Administration or regional weather services can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic scenarios than institutional predictions.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Seoul on June 1 is priced as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. Traders buy and sell shares in outcomes they believe will occur, with prices reflecting the collective probability estimate. The market uses an automated market maker or order-book mechanism to determine real-time odds, allowing participants to enter or exit positions continuously until the event resolves on Jun 1, 2026.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the highest temperature in Seoul on June 1 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by the official temperature data for that day, typically sourced from Seoul's primary meteorological station or the Korea Meteorological Administration. The outcome is binary or categorical depending on how the market was structured—either confirming which temperature range occurred or settling to the exact recorded high.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal anomalies, or updated long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies could significantly move market odds. Atmospheric pressure systems, jet stream positioning, and tropical cyclone activity in the Western Pacific may influence Seoul's June 1 temperature. Additionally, historical climate data releases, El Niño or La Niña updates, and real-time weather model consensus changes in late May will likely trigger trading activity as the event date approaches and forecasts become more precise.