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Highest temperature in Seoul on July 12?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on July 12?

Volume:
$91,403

34°C or higher

 - Polymarket

34°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Seoul July temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Seoul on July 12. The interface displays current market pricing, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume data, allowing traders to monitor how sentiment shifts as the event date approaches. This dashboard aggregates all active contracts within the Seoul July temperature market, giving you a complete view of how the prediction community is pricing this specific weather outcome.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from thousands of traders and often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts. While weather analysts rely on models and historical data, this market prices in live trader conviction and incorporates breaking information continuously. The odds here tend to update faster than official forecasts and can reveal where the prediction community sees asymmetric risk. Comparing the current market price to published analyst estimates for Seoul's July 12 high temperature can highlight where professional and crowd expectations diverge most sharply.

This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once July 12 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Seoul that day is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verified public data from credible weather reporting sources, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Traders holding positions in the correct temperature bracket will receive their winnings automatically once the event is finalized and the market closes.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and real-time atmospheric data releases can all shift odds significantly before July 12 arrives. Tropical systems, heat waves, or unexpected cold fronts tracked by meteorologists will ripple through trader positioning. News about urban heat island effects or infrastructure changes in Seoul may also influence expectations. As the event date draws closer, intraday weather updates and final model consensus typically drive the largest price swings, especially in the final 48 hours before resolution.