TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$46,935

69° to 70°

 - Kalshi

69° to 70° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° to 70°

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,606
N/A
N/A
$5,150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,928
N/A
N/A
$18,172
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,357
N/A
N/A
$6,400
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,433
N/A
N/A
$3,719
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,121
N/A
N/A
$828
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
$490
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Seattle on a particular date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 69°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, or above 76°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the expiration date, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until expiration, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable at expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.