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Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2?

Volume:
$38,354

20°C

 - Polymarket

20°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

20°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and pricing for this climate event. It displays the current probability of various temperature outcomes, 24-hour trading volume of $31,119, and historical price movements leading up to resolution on Jun 2, 2026. Users can monitor how market participants are pricing temperature scenarios as June 2 approaches, with live updates reflecting new trades and information flow into the market.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2 is priced through outcome contracts representing specific temperature ranges or thresholds. Each contract trades between 0 and 1, with the price reflecting the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders buy and sell these contracts based on their temperature expectations, seasonal patterns, and any emerging climate signals. The market price continuously adjusts as new information arrives and trading activity shifts.

The Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2 market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the actual high temperature for that day is recorded. Resolution depends on verified temperature data for Sao Paulo on June 2, which determines which outcome contract or range is correct. The market will settle based on the official recorded maximum temperature, ensuring traders' payoffs align with real-world climate conditions observed on that specific date.

Several factors could shift odds for Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2 before resolution. Seasonal weather pattern updates, changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation, and tropical system activity in the Southern Hemisphere could alter temperature expectations. Real-time meteorological forecasts issued closer to June 2 will refine market pricing. Additionally, historical temperature anomalies, urban heat effects, and any unusual climate events in the weeks leading up to June 2 may prompt traders to adjust their positions and market probabilities.