TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the maximum temperature expected in San Francisco on a specific date, categorizing outcomes into defined ranges. Participants assess likelihoods based on historical trends and forecasts, with resolution tied to an official weather data source. The structure allows for nuanced betting on various temperature scenarios.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on September 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within its specified bounds. For temperatures of 65°F or below, the first market resolves to 'Yes.' The second market resolves to 'Yes' for temperatures between 66°F and 67°F, the third for 68°F to 69°F, the fourth for 70°F to 71°F, and the fifth for 72°F to 73°F. The final market resolves to 'Yes' for any temperature above 73°F. All markets rely exclusively on data from The Weather Company, with no alternative sources accepted for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to revision, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.