TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$28,170

76° or below

 - Kalshi

76° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° or below

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,538
N/A
N/A
$7,313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,905
N/A
N/A
$3,850
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,432
N/A
N/A
$2,884
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,253
N/A
N/A
$2,153
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
$612
Settled
No
kalshi

85° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date will fall within certain ranges. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source, with specific guidelines for handling data discrepancies or delays.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though participants may reference other sources for guidance. Preliminary data may differ from final reports due to rounding or conversion issues, so caution is advised. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initially published data, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected version is released or until the official expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee immunity from error-related adjustments.