TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$64,740

80° or below

 - Kalshi

80° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° or below

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,922
N/A
N/A
$13,150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,187
N/A
N/A
$9,609
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,856
N/A
N/A
$5,612
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,331
N/A
N/A
$4,123
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,539
N/A
N/A
$2,249
Settled
No
kalshi

89° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$905
N/A
N/A
$773
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether San Francisco will experience specific temperature ranges on October 6, 2026. Outcomes depend on the exact peak temperature recorded at a designated weather station, with different markets covering various temperature brackets.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco's CLISFO station on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 81°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, or above 88°F. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies material errors in preliminary data, extending the period until a corrected value is published or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.